Lumentum Holdings Valuation

LU2 Stock  EUR 604.60  40.60  7.20%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Lumentum Holdings secures a last-minute Real Value of €524.74 per share. The latest price of the firm is €604.6. Our model forecasts the value of Lumentum Holdings from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.12 %, return on equity of 0.29, and Current Valuation of 11.6 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
10.419
Enterprise Value
11.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
127.3092
Price Sales
19.379
Forward PE
33.7838
Overvalued
Today
604.60
Please note that Lumentum Holdings' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Lumentum Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Lumentum Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Lumentum stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Lumentum Holdings. Since Lumentum Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Lumentum Stock. However, Lumentum Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  604.6 Real  524.74 Hype  624.75 Naive  581.45
The real value of Lumentum Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Lumentum Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Lumentum Holdings' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Lumentum Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
519.11
Downside
524.74
Real Value
665.06
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Lumentum Holdings helps investors to forecast how Lumentum stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Lumentum Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Lumentum Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.471.541.61
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
544.14624.75630.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
575.82581.45587.08
Details

Lumentum Holdings Cash

545.33 Million

Lumentum Holdings Total Value Analysis

Lumentum Holdings is now estimated to have takeover price of 11.6 B with market capitalization of 40.8 B, debt of 10.6 M, and cash on hands of 697.5 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Lumentum Holdings fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
11.6 B
40.8 B
10.6 M
697.5 M

Lumentum Holdings Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 151.62. Lumentum Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Lumentum Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Lumentum Holdings is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities281.2 M145.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Lumentum Holdings Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of Lumentum implies not a very effective usage of assets in February.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Lumentum Holdings Profitability Analysis

Based on Lumentum Holdings' profitability indicators, Lumentum Holdings may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Lumentum Holdings' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2018-06-30
Previous Quarter
4.2 M
Current Value
78.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
92.1 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
The current Gross Profit is estimated to decrease to about 522.1 M
For Lumentum Holdings profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Lumentum Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Lumentum Holdings utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Lumentum Holdings's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Lumentum Holdings over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Lumentum Holdings Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Lumentum Holdings' earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Lumentum Holdings' analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Lumentum Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Lumentum Holdings is projected to generate 1.54 in earnings per share on the 30th of September 2021. Lumentum Holdings earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Lumentum Holdings EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Lumentum Holdings' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Lumentum Holdings, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Lumentum Holdings Ownership Allocation

Lumentum Holdings holds a total of 71.4 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Lumentum Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Lumentum Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Lumentum Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Lumentum Holdings as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.

Lumentum Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.65 B. Net Income was 25.9 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 781.4 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Lumentum Holdings' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Lumentum Holdings and how it compares across the competition.

About Lumentum Holdings Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Lumentum Holdings' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Lumentum Holdings. We calculate exposure to Lumentum Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Lumentum Holdings's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit528.9 M522.1 M

Complementary Tools for Lumentum Stock analysis

When running Lumentum Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Lumentum Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumentum Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Lumentum Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumentum Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumentum Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumentum Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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